Is Nakano city safe? Moving to Wards in Tokyo,Japan

This section introduces the livability of Nakano ward, Tokyo compared to the other 23 wards.

Contents

Livability of Nakano ward｜First Conclusion
Compare Nakano-ku with other wards
What you need to know before moving to Nakano-ku
Nakano-ku livability summary

Livability of Nakano ward｜First Conclusion

Good points of Nakano ward

No. of children on waiting list 0

Bad points of Nakano ward

Population will decrease in the future.

The following points can be simply described as the charms of Nakano Ward.

There are many unique and enjoyable spots, such as Nakano Broadway, famous as a center of subculture, and Nakano Sun Mall Shopping Street, where seasonal events are held.
Transportation is also very convenient, with the JR Chuo Line, Tokyo Metro Marunouchi Line, and Seibu Shinjuku Line providing quick access to central Tokyo, including Shinjuku, Shibuya, and Ikebukuro.
In recent years, redevelopment has created a variety of urban functions such as office buildings, universities, hospitals, and parks, creating a comfortable living environment.
Food is abundant, and the area is also known as a fierce battleground for ramen noodles. There are also popular gourmet spots such as freshly baked melon bread and 8-tier soft-serve ice cream.

To give you a brief idea of how easy it is to live in Nakano City, Tokyo, with these characteristics, it is a highly accessible city with no children waiting to live there. However, the population is expected to decrease in the future.

Compare Nakano-ku with other wards

5-point evaluation criteria for each item

▼Accessibility
Calculated by the time it takes to get out to the Yamanote Line station.
5 = within 15 minutes
4 = within 20 minutes
3 = within 25 minutes
2 = within 30 minutes
1=more than 30 minutes

▼ Future Population
Calculated as percent change in population in 2045 relative to current population.
Over 110% = 5
Over 100% = 4
Over 90% = 3
Over 80% = 2
Less than 80% = 1

▼ Public Safety
The number of perceived crimes per 1,000 population is evaluated using the following criteria
5= less than 4 crimes per 1,000 people
4= less than 5
3= less than 6
2= less than 8
1= more than 8

▼ Property prices
Compared to the respective averages for rentals and condominiums in the 23 wards of Tokyo
5＝30% or more reasonable price
4＝10% or more but less than 30% of the price of the property
3＝Less than 10% of the price before or after
2 = 10% or more but less than 30% more expensive price
1 = 30% or more expensive price
and then summed and re-evaluated.

▼ Number of medical facilities
（The number of medical facilities is evaluated against the average of Tokyo’s 23 wards (excluding extremely expensive wards) using the following criteria.
5=30% or more
4=10% or more but less than 30
3=10% or more, but less than 10%.
2=10% or more but less than 30
1=30% or more

▼ Child Care
The following criteria are used to evaluate against the number of children on waiting lists.
5 = 0 children on waiting list
4=Less than 5 children on the waiting list
3=Less than 10 children on the waiting list
2=Less than 50 children on the waiting list
1 = 50 or more children on the waiting list

Above, the green line is the valuation of Nakano Ward, and the orange line is the average valuation of the other 23 wards of Tokyo. Let us look at each of them in turn.

Accessibility of Nakano-ku

Lines and Stations in Nakano-ku

JR Chuo Line: “Nakano Station
JR Sobu Line: “Higashi-Nakano”, “Nakano” station
Seibu Shinjuku Line: Araiyakushi-mae Station, Numabukuro Station, Nogata Station, Toritsu Iemasa Station, Saginomiya Station
Tokyo Metro Marunouchi Line (Ikebukuro-Ogikubo): Nakano Sakaue Station, Shin Nakano Station
Tokyo Metro Marunouchi Line (Nakanosakaue – Honancho): Nakanosakaue Station, Nakano-Shinbashi Station, Nakanofujimicho Station
Tokyo Metro Tozai Line: Nakano Station
Toei Oedo Line: Nakano Sakaue Station, Higashi-Nakano Station, Shin-Ekoda Station

Nakano Ward has 7 lines and 12 stations.

The JR Chuo Line, JR Sobu Line, and Toei Oedo Line are conveniently located in Shinjuku, the Tokyo Metro Marunouchi Line in Shinjuku and Ikebukuro, and the Seibu Shinjuku Line out to the Seibu Shinjuku and Kawagoe areas.

Nakano-ku Population and Future Population

The population of Nakano Ward is approximately 341,843.

The future population in 2045 will be 325,585 (95.24%), a decrease of about 16,000 from the current population. With population declines projected throughout Japan, a population decrease of approximately 5% is a relatively not bad figure.

While many wards in Tokyo are projected to increase in population, Nakano Ward’s projected future population has decreased.

Is Nakano city safe?

Compared to the surrounding wards, Nakano Ward seems to be “average” in terms of public safety.

The number of crimes in 2022 was 1,880, which is 5.5 crimes per 1,000 people in Nakano Ward.

Since the average number of crimes per 1,000 people in other wards is about 6 to 7, Nakano Ward was rated as “average” in terms of public safety.

The number of crimes in Nakano Ward is on a downward trend, but in recent years the number of non-intrusive thefts such as car, bicycle, and motorcycle thefts, shoplifting, and left-behind thefts has been on the rise.

Property quotes in Nakano-ku

One room rental = approx. 70,000 yen
2LDK rental = approx. 200,000 yen
Condominium for sale = approx. 56 million yen
Detached house = approx. 84 million yen

The market prices of properties for rent and for sale in Nakano Ward are as above.

Compared to other surrounding wards as shown in the table, the property market in Nakano Ward was evaluated as average.

Number of Hospitals in Nakano-ku

There are 306 hospitals and other medical facilities in Nakano Ward.

This is 0.9 per 1,000 people, which is an “average” level compared to other 23 wards in Tokyo.

Nakano-ku Childcare

As for childcare, it appears that there were zero children on the waiting list in Minato Ward according to 2022 data. Also, there appear to be 89 pediatricians and 94 licensed childcare facilities.

There are wards within the 23 wards that have waiting lists for children. In contrast, Nakano Ward has 0 children, which is a great point for families who want to leave their children in the care of their children.

“待機児童＝Taiki jidō” in Japan refers to children who need but can’t secure a spot in childcare facilities due to shortage. This is a major social issue.

What you need to know before moving to Nakano-ku

https://www.toshiseibi.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/bosai/chousa_6/home.htm

Here we report on the contents of the regional hazard measurement survey for earthquakes published by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government Bureau of Development.

The above figure is a color-coded chart of five levels of “overall risk” calculated from “building collapse risk” and “fire risk.

According to the chart, Nakano Ward has the lowest risk level from rank 1 (light blue area) to rank 5 (brown area).

The most dangerous areas (rank 5) in Nakano Ward are as follows.

2 Nogata, Nakano-ku, Tokyo
1 Wakamiya, Nakano-ku, Tokyo

For more information, please visit the Nakano Ward page of the Tokyo Metropolitan Government Bureau of Development. If you are considering moving to Nakano Ward, we recommend that you take a look at this page.

Nakano-ku livability summary

Future population is projected to decrease【Bad！】
Public safety is average
Property prices are average
The number of hospitals is average
The number of children on waiting lists is 0 【Good！】
Nakano City’s livability is as shown above.

The number of children on waiting lists is 0, which is a good point. On the other hand, the population is predicted to decrease in the future, so if you plan to own real estate, you may want to limit yourself to popular station areas.

Why don’t you positively consider moving to Nakano Ward ^^?

Source/Reference

▼Population
https://www.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/tosei/tokyoto/profile/gaiyo/kushichoson.html
▼Future population
https://jmap.jp/cities/detail/city/13114
▼Public order
https://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/about_mpd/jokyo_tokei/jokyo/ninchikensu.files/R4.csv
▼Market price of property
https://www.chintai.net/tokyo/area/13100/rent/1r/
https://www.chintai.net/tokyo/area/13100/rent/2ldk/
https://www.homes.co.jp/mansion/chuko/tokyo/nakano-city/list/
https://www.homes.co.jp/kodate/chuko/tokyo/23ku/city/price/
▼Taiki jido
https://www.hokatsunomikata.com/taiki_infos/641
▼Number of Hospitals
https://jmap.jp/cities/detail/city/13114
▼Number of approved childcare facilities
https://www.fukushi.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/kiban/fukushi_shisetsu/shs_list/202305.html
▼Tokyo Earthquake Hazard Level
https://www.toshiseibi.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/bosai/chousa_6/14nakano.htm